The Padres land at Great American Ball Park at 12:40 PM EDT, ready to stream on MLB.TV, Padres.TV and Reds.TV. Casey Mize (RHP #32) rolls the dice for San Diego, while left‑hander Brandon Williamson (LHP #55) gets the Reds’ first look. With a team ERA of 3.91 versus Cincinnati’s 4.66, the Padres are the class‑room overachievers—if ERA were a GPA, SD would be an A‑, the Reds barely a C+. The batting averages tell the same story: .238 for the Padres versus .228 for the Reds, a difference so tiny it could be blamed on the umpire’s eyesight.

Both clubs are missing a few pieces: San Diego’s reliever Jason Adam sits on the 60‑day IL, and DH Miguel Andújar is on a 10‑day stint, while Cincinnati’s roster is also thin. The book still favors San Diego at –157, with a 9.5‑run total that makes the over sound like a prayer and the under like a nap. Make your pick and hop into the conversation on StreakChat.