Minnesota rolls into the Target Center with a 33‑11 record and a 15‑7 home ledger, while New York limps in at 26‑18 after a 12‑10 road trek—plus the Liberty are missing Satou Sabally (season‑ending OFS) and Jonquel Jones (out). The Lynx eke out a marginal scoring edge (90.8 pts vs. 89.6) and a tighter shooting line (48 % vs. 46 %), a difference that feels larger when you remember the Liberty are playing without two of their front‑court anchors. If you need a crystal ball, look at Minnesota’s 15‑7 home split; it’s the kind of advantage that turns a 6.5‑point line into a betting sweet spot.

The line reads MIN –6.5, total 173.5, with a –258 moneyline for the host. The Lynx have the numbers, the Liberty have the holes—so the math leans heavy on Minnesota. Want to lock in a pick or argue the spread? Jump into the discussion on StreakChat.