Minnesota rolls into the Target Center with a league‑best 31‑9 ledger and a 14‑6 home record that makes the Lynx look like they’re playing on a different court. At 91.3 points per game they out‑shoot New York’s 89.8, while their 83.4 points‑against line is tighter than the Liberty’s 86.9—proof that the Lynx’s defense is a steal machine, averaging 8.9 swipes and 4.6 blocks each night. Olivia Miles, the 19.7‑point, 6‑assist engine, should keep the pressure on a Liberty offense that leans heavily on Breanna Stewart’s 20.4 ppg.

The odds reflect the math: Minnesota is a –6.5 favorite in a 176.5‑point game, with a –265 moneyline versus New York’s +215. The Liberty are shorthanded without forward Satou Sabally (OFS), while the Lynx sit Dorka Juhász (Out) on the bench. All signs point to a comfortable Lynx win, but the spread is always a little shaky in Minneapolis. Make your pick and join the debate on StreakChat.