At 8:10 PM on MLB.TV and DBACKS.TV, Daikin Park turns into a showdown that could swing either way. Merrill Kelly (RHP, #29) will try to silence Houston’s bat, but with a 5.08 ERA and 141.2 IP under his belt he’s more likely to keep the 109 moneyline in check than to erase the 64 walks and 26 HRs that’ve tripped him up. Arizona is missing ace Corbin Burnes and Ryne Nelson on the 60‑day IL, so the Dbacks are counting on a pitcher who’s been a bit of a walk‑and‑hit machine to turn the tables.
On paper, the Astros are favored at –131 and the 9‑run total is leaning toward the over at –104, yet both teams sit at nearly the same batting average (.243 vs. .240) and ERAs (4.16 vs. 4.56). The only way the Dbacks can upset is to get Javier to drop his 6.45 ERA and keep the ball in the park. Make your pick or follow the discussion on StreakChat.