The Mammoth arrive with a three-quarter-goal edge in scoring margin and the league’s quietest 40-goal man in Dylan Guenther, facing a Flames outfit that’s been conceding nearly 30 shots a night and still trying to figure out which Flame other than Matt Coronato is supposed to finish. Calgary’s home record looks respectable until you notice the 3.18 GAA behind it; Utah’s 19.8 percent power play isn’t elite, but against a 16.4 percent Calgary kill it might only need three chances to bury this one early.

John Marino’s status is the only real suspense on the Utah blue line, while the Flames are already without Huberdeau and now list Bahl day-to-day—meaning the Saddledome crowd could be watching a defense corps held together with tape and prayer. Books have Utah –170 and the total parked at 6.5; if you’re betting the under you’re essentially trusting Calgary’s offense to stay cold, which has been a profitable stance since October. Drop your pick and the reasoning on StreakChat before 9 p.m. ET.